Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.672695e-06 0.000004 0.000004 0.000005 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.160539e-06 0.000004 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.706188e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.382578e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.112876e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000012
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.896537e-06 0.000003 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.717048e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.583128e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.465711e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000021
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.326522e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.226304e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.130613e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000028
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.052353e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.931450e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000036
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.184022e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000040
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.611527e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000045
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.068161e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000009 0.000020 0.000050
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.594977e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000055
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.169067e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000062
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.847976e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000024 0.000070
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.543321e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000026 0.000079
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.110762e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000026 0.000084
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.799425e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000028 0.000093